Scouting Report
Jonathan Drouin holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Fantilli wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Drouin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 44.9% vs Drouin 50.8% (-8.2%)
Offensive zone
Drouin 55.4%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 60.2%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 50.3%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Fantilli
Drouin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Drouin
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (358)
51.7% (60)
-8.4%
Power Play
50.0% (32)
52.0% (25)
-2.0%
On even strength, Drouin has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drouin shoots left. Fantilli is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Fantilli shoots left. Drouin is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (45).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Drouin
Home
46.8% (218)
57.9% (57)
Away
39.7% (174)
39.3% (28)
By Period
Fantilli
Drouin
P1
40.3%
61.8%
P2
38.1%
50.0%
P3
54.1%
36.8%
Final 5 min
38.9%
35.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
43.6%
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
51.8%