Adam Fantilli vs Jonathan Drouin
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.2% vs 44.3%). Look for Fantilli on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Fantilli wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Drouin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.4% vs Drouin 44.5% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 51.9%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 58.3%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 58.9%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Fantilli
Drouin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Fantilli
Drouin
Last 6: Fantilli 4-2 Drouin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fantilli
Drouin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
1
Fantilli
Drouin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Drouin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Drouin
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,134)
43.5% (1,824)
+1.2%
Power Play
52.0% (204)
48.3% (387)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
32.0% (25)
39.1% (23)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Drouin has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drouin shoots left. Fantilli is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,569).
Fantilli shoots left. Drouin is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,385).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Drouin
Home
47.3% (1,178)
44.0% (1,041)
Away
43.0% (1,185)
44.5% (1,193)
By Period
Fantilli
Drouin
P1
44.0%
45.9%
P2
46.2%
42.0%
P3
45.9%
45.0%
OT
24.1%
47.1%
Final 5 min
43.9%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.2%
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 18:52 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 01:29 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 17:14 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 03:41 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 13:48 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 01:58 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |