Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 49.3%). Look for Fantilli on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.0% vs Drouin 49.5% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 64.3%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 52.1%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 62.6%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Fantilli
Drouin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Fantilli
Drouin
Last 6: Fantilli 4-2 Drouin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fantilli
Drouin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
1
Fantilli
Drouin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Drouin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Drouin
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (842)
47.5% (181)
+2.1%
Power Play
52.5% (99)
56.8% (44)
-4.3%
On power play, Drouin has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drouin shoots left. Fantilli is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (622).
Fantilli shoots left. Drouin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Drouin
Home
50.8% (472)
49.5% (97)
Away
49.2% (480)
49.2% (128)
By Period
Fantilli
Drouin
P1
47.8%
52.1%
P2
52.7%
51.5%
P3
50.0%
45.0%
OT
30.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 18:52 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 01:29 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 17:14 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 03:41 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 13:48 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 01:58 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |