Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Fantilli wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Rossi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 44.9% vs Rossi 45.3% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 60.6%
Defensive zone
Rossi 56.1%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 50.7%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Fantilli
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Fantilli
Rossi
Last 7: Fantilli 3-4 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Rossi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
1
Fantilli
Rossi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
2
3
Fantilli
Rossi
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (358)
44.5% (701)
-1.2%
Power Play
50.0% (32)
56.1% (41)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
0.0% (7)
+0.0%
On power play, Rossi has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Fantilli is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Fantilli shoots left. Rossi is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Rossi
Home
46.8% (218)
46.8% (385)
Away
39.7% (174)
42.6% (364)
By Period
Fantilli
Rossi
P1
40.3%
42.8%
P2
38.1%
43.9%
P3
54.1%
47.4%
OT
30.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
37.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
43.6%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 14:15 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 11:03 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 10:56 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 08:34 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 08:09 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 21, 2023 | OT | 01:06 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 04:42 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |