Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Fantilli wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Rossi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.4% vs Rossi 46.9% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Rossi leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 75.4%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 58.9%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 62.5%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Fantilli
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Fantilli
Rossi
Last 10: Fantilli 4-6 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
3
Fantilli
Rossi
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
2
Fantilli
Rossi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Fantilli
Rossi
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,134)
47.0% (2,140)
-2.3%
Power Play
52.0% (204)
47.3% (188)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
32.0% (25)
34.1% (44)
-2.1%
On power play, Fantilli has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Fantilli is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,569).
Fantilli shoots left. Rossi is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,529).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Rossi
Home
47.3% (1,178)
47.8% (1,207)
Away
43.0% (1,185)
45.7% (1,165)
By Period
Fantilli
Rossi
P1
44.0%
47.3%
P2
46.2%
44.8%
P3
45.9%
48.3%
OT
24.1%
45.8%
Final 5 min
43.9%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.2%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 11:27 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 06:13 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 01:36 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 18:32 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 15:45 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 14:15 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 11:03 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 10:56 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 08:34 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 08:09 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 21, 2023 | OT | 01:06 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 04:42 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |