Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Fantilli wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Rossi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs Rossi 47.1% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 74.4%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 74.1%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 74.9%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 74.4%
74.4%
25.6%
Fantilli
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Fantilli
Rossi
Last 5: Fantilli 1-4 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
3
Fantilli
Rossi
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
1
Fantilli
Rossi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Rossi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
46.5% (879)
-5.8%
Power Play
52.1% (73)
48.6% (105)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
50.0% (8)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Rossi has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Fantilli is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (687).
Fantilli shoots left. Rossi is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Rossi
Home
44.1% (488)
47.5% (520)
Away
38.6% (531)
46.0% (472)
By Period
Fantilli
Rossi
P1
42.0%
47.8%
P2
43.0%
44.2%
P3
39.3%
48.7%
OT
11.1%
45.5%
Final 5 min
38.3%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
41.2%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 11:27 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 06:13 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 01:36 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 18:32 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 15:45 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |