Adam Fantilli vs Mavrik Bourque

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.8% vs 45.5%). Look for Fantilli on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Fantilli wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bourque shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Fantilli 45.1% vs Bourque 46.2% (-0.7%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Fantilli 75.7%
Defensive zone Bourque 73.4%
Neutral zone Bourque 52.6%
Result Adam Fantilli favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Fantilli Bourque
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 4 (9 meetings)
5
4
Fantilli Bourque
Last 9: Fantilli 5-4 Bourque

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
4
1
Fantilli Bourque
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bourque
1
2
Fantilli Bourque
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bourque
0
1
Fantilli Bourque
1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Fantilli
Bourque
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (1,930)
46.4% (494)
-2.2%
Power Play
53.4% (163)
21.4% (14)
+32.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (24)
42.3% (26)
-9.0%
On power play, Fantilli has a +32.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Bourque shoots right. Fantilli is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (705).
Fantilli shoots left. Bourque is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (400).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Bourque
Home
47.5% (1,040)
47.1% (242)
Away
42.2% (1,077)
44.2% (292)
By Period
Fantilli
Bourque
P1
43.9%
42.7%
P2
45.9%
42.7%
P3
45.4%
50.2%
OT
23.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
50.8%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
58.0%
51.0%
44.8%
Bourque
48.0%
43.5%
45.5%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 22, 2026 2 10:04 Offensive Mavrik Bourque
Jan 22, 2026 1 18:35 Offensive Adam Fantilli
Jan 22, 2026 1 02:48 Offensive Adam Fantilli
Feb 25, 2025 3 08:18 Neutral Mavrik Bourque
Feb 25, 2025 2 14:58 Offensive Adam Fantilli
Feb 2, 2025 3 09:48 Offensive Adam Fantilli
Feb 2, 2025 2 19:16 Defensive Mavrik Bourque
Feb 2, 2025 2 03:44 Defensive Mavrik Bourque
Feb 2, 2025 1 07:47 Defensive Adam Fantilli