Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Fantilli wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs Paul 50.0% (-8.8%)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 71.3%
Defensive zone
Paul 68.3%
Neutral zone
Paul 52.6%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Fantilli
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
48.8% (666)
-8.1%
Power Play
52.1% (73)
53.8% (65)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
60.0% (55)
-43.3%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +43.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Fantilli is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (687).
Fantilli shoots left. Paul is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Paul
Home
44.1% (488)
49.7% (348)
Away
38.6% (531)
50.2% (438)
By Period
Fantilli
Paul
P1
42.0%
51.0%
P2
43.0%
47.4%
P3
39.3%
51.5%
OT
11.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
38.3%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
41.2%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%