Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +18.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.6% vs Kelly 39.9% (+18.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 91.2%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 65.4%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 76.4%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 76.4%
76.4%
23.6%
Fantilli
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Fantilli
Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Kelly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (638)
32.5% (123)
+17.5%
Power Play
56.9% (58)
0.0% (1)
+56.9%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (10)
33.3% (9)
+26.7%
On power play, Fantilli has a +56.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Fantilli is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (465).
Fantilli shoots left. Kelly is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (81).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Kelly
Home
53.0% (334)
31.7% (60)
Away
48.7% (372)
32.9% (73)
By Period
Fantilli
Kelly
P1
48.7%
26.9%
P2
53.9%
34.3%
P3
49.8%
37.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
31.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
58.0%▲
51.0%
50.7%
Kelly
22.0%▼
37.0%
32.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 16:15 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |