Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.0% vs Kelly 41.6% (+13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 86.3%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 53.2%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 67.7%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Fantilli
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Fantilli
Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Kelly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (842)
36.3% (157)
+13.3%
Power Play
52.5% (99)
0.0% (1)
+52.5%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
45.5% (11)
+9.0%
On power play, Fantilli has a +52.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Fantilli is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (622).
Fantilli shoots left. Kelly is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Kelly
Home
50.8% (472)
35.9% (78)
Away
49.2% (480)
37.4% (91)
By Period
Fantilli
Kelly
P1
47.8%
34.3%
P2
52.7%
36.0%
P3
50.0%
40.4%
Final 5 min
51.1%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
36.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 16:15 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |