Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +19.7% FO% edge overall. Fantilli wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 44.9% vs Kelly 41.8% (+19.7%)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 57.0%
Defensive zone
Kelly 59.4%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 50.9%
Result
Parker Kelly favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Fantilli
Kelly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (358)
22.9% (35)
+20.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
27.3% (11)
-27.3%
On penalty kill, Kelly has a +27.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Fantilli is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Fantilli shoots left. Kelly is 17.2% vs left-shot opponents (29).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Kelly
Home
46.8% (218)
23.8% (21)
Away
39.7% (174)
24.0% (25)
By Period
Fantilli
Kelly
P1
40.3%
22.2%
P2
38.1%
23.5%
P3
54.1%
27.3%
Final 5 min
38.9%
20.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
43.6%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
23.9%