Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.0% vs Zacha 51.7% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 68.9%
Defensive zone
Zacha 79.3%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 51.2%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Fantilli
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Fantilli
Zacha
Last 5: Fantilli 4-1 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
0
Fantilli
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Fantilli
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (842)
53.3% (646)
-3.7%
Power Play
52.5% (99)
53.0% (100)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
38.9% (72)
+15.6%
On penalty kill, Fantilli has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Fantilli is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (622).
Fantilli shoots left. Zacha is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Zacha
Home
50.8% (472)
51.7% (410)
Away
49.2% (480)
52.2% (408)
By Period
Fantilli
Zacha
P1
47.8%
57.7%
P2
52.7%
48.9%
P3
50.0%
50.2%
OT
30.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
51.1%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 13:21 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 17:46 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 17:41 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 14:04 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 15:51 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |