Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Fantilli wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 44.9% vs Zacha 54.4% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 68.9%
Defensive zone
Zacha 79.8%
Neutral zone
Zacha 67.5%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 71.3%
28.7%
71.3%
Fantilli
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Fantilli
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
0
Fantilli
Zacha
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Fantilli
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (358)
53.9% (787)
-10.6%
Power Play
50.0% (32)
63.2% (193)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
44.3% (88)
-44.3%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +44.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Fantilli is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Fantilli shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Zacha
Home
46.8% (218)
56.7% (538)
Away
39.7% (174)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Fantilli
Zacha
P1
40.3%
52.6%
P2
38.1%
54.8%
P3
54.1%
56.8%
OT
30.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
38.9%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
58.0%▲
51.0%
43.6%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:55 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 10:50 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 10:18 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 04:51 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |