Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Fantilli wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs Zacha 52.8% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Fantilli
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Fantilli
Zacha
Last 6: Fantilli 1-5 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Fantilli
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
4
Fantilli
Zacha
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
54.1% (534)
-13.4%
Power Play
52.1% (73)
56.0% (109)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
44.8% (96)
-28.1%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +28.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Fantilli is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (687).
Fantilli shoots left. Zacha is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Zacha
Home
44.1% (488)
53.4% (406)
Away
38.6% (531)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Fantilli
Zacha
P1
42.0%
56.8%
P2
43.0%
53.6%
P3
39.3%
49.2%
OT
11.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.3%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
58.0%▲
51.0%
41.2%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 07:48 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 10:24 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 07:29 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 19:06 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 12:53 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 05:17 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |