Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Fantilli wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.6% vs Reinhart 43.4% (+12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 63.6%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 59.9%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 50.2%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Fantilli
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Fantilli
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Reinhart
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Fantilli
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (638)
38.9% (72)
+11.1%
Power Play
56.9% (58)
35.7% (42)
+21.2%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (10)
42.9% (21)
+17.1%
On power play, Fantilli has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Fantilli is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Fantilli shoots left. Reinhart is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Reinhart
Home
53.0% (334)
34.7% (75)
Away
48.7% (372)
43.3% (60)
By Period
Fantilli
Reinhart
P1
48.7%
43.9%
P2
53.9%
32.6%
P3
49.8%
39.6%
Final 5 min
54.1%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
58.0%▲
51.0%
50.7%
Reinhart
46.0%▲
41.0%
38.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 09:47 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 02:52 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |