Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Reinhart on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Fantilli wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.4% vs Reinhart 43.3% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Reinhart leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 50.7%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 72.1%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 60.8%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Fantilli
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Fantilli
Reinhart
Last 10: Fantilli 4-6 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
4
0
Fantilli
Reinhart
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
5
Fantilli
Reinhart
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Fantilli
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,134)
42.5% (2,173)
+2.2%
Power Play
52.0% (204)
46.5% (525)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
32.0% (25)
41.3% (339)
-9.3%
On penalty kill, Reinhart has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Fantilli is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (794).
Fantilli shoots left. Reinhart is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,283).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Reinhart
Home
47.3% (1,178)
44.9% (1,528)
Away
43.0% (1,185)
41.2% (1,509)
By Period
Fantilli
Reinhart
P1
44.0%
44.5%
P2
46.2%
40.5%
P3
45.9%
44.5%
OT
24.1%
43.5%
Final 5 min
43.9%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.2%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 09:47 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 02:52 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 10:29 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 04:06 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 17:43 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 08:35 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 19:10 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:06 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 02:46 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 04:45 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |