Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (41.2% vs 41.2%). Look for Reinhart on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Fantilli wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs Reinhart 42.7% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 74.8%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 66.4%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 60.5%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Fantilli
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Fantilli
Reinhart
Last 7: Fantilli 2-5 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
0
Fantilli
Reinhart
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
5
Fantilli
Reinhart
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
44.1% (324)
-3.4%
Power Play
52.1% (73)
40.3% (72)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
33.9% (118)
-17.2%
On penalty kill, Reinhart has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Fantilli is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Fantilli shoots left. Reinhart is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Reinhart
Home
44.1% (488)
40.5% (232)
Away
38.6% (531)
41.8% (282)
By Period
Fantilli
Reinhart
P1
42.0%
46.4%
P2
43.0%
32.6%
P3
39.3%
45.4%
OT
11.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
38.3%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
41.2%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 10:29 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 04:06 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 17:43 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 08:35 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 19:10 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:06 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 02:46 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |