Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Fantilli wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.0% vs Reinhart 42.9% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 68.2%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 58.9%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 52.5%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Fantilli
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Fantilli
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Reinhart
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Fantilli
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (842)
39.0% (77)
+10.6%
Power Play
52.5% (99)
35.4% (48)
+17.1%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
40.9% (22)
+13.6%
On power play, Fantilli has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Fantilli is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (330).
Fantilli shoots left. Reinhart is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Reinhart
Home
50.8% (472)
35.7% (84)
Away
49.2% (480)
41.3% (63)
By Period
Fantilli
Reinhart
P1
47.8%
42.6%
P2
52.7%
34.7%
P3
50.0%
37.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
38.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 09:47 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 02:52 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |