Scouting Report
Tage Thompson holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Fantilli wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs Thompson 43.7% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 55.0%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 50.9%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 50.6%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Fantilli
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Fantilli
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Fantilli
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Fantilli
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
41.9% (597)
-1.2%
Power Play
52.1% (73)
50.5% (95)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
25.0% (12)
-8.3%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Fantilli is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Fantilli shoots left. Thompson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Thompson
Home
44.1% (488)
47.1% (367)
Away
38.6% (531)
38.0% (337)
By Period
Fantilli
Thompson
P1
42.0%
44.2%
P2
43.0%
41.6%
P3
39.3%
42.9%
OT
11.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
38.3%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
41.2%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 02:26 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:07 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |