Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Fantilli wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.0% vs Thompson 45.3% (+5.3%)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 64.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 65.7%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 50.3%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Fantilli
Thompson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (842)
44.9% (642)
+4.7%
Power Play
52.5% (99)
47.9% (94)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
33.3% (33)
+21.2%
On penalty kill, Fantilli has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Fantilli is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (330).
Fantilli shoots left. Thompson is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Thompson
Home
50.8% (472)
46.0% (391)
Away
49.2% (480)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Fantilli
Thompson
P1
47.8%
48.1%
P2
52.7%
44.9%
P3
50.0%
41.2%
OT
30.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
51.1%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.7%