Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Fantilli wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 44.9% vs Hertl 56.8% (-13.9%)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 57.0%
Defensive zone
Hertl 80.2%
Neutral zone
Hertl 52.1%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Fantilli
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (358)
57.0% (718)
-13.7%
Power Play
50.0% (32)
64.9% (188)
-14.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
44.2% (77)
-44.2%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +44.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Fantilli is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Fantilli shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Hertl
Home
46.8% (218)
59.2% (463)
Away
39.7% (174)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Fantilli
Hertl
P1
40.3%
56.3%
P2
38.1%
55.4%
P3
54.1%
60.5%
OT
30.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
43.6%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%