Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Gaudette wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 46.7% vs Hertl 52.3% (-8.4%)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 61.9%
Defensive zone
Hertl 56.1%
Neutral zone
Hertl 52.6%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Gaudette
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (119)
51.6% (1,084)
-7.1%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
61.0% (246)
-23.5%
On power play, Hertl has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Gaudette is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (100).
Gaudette shoots right. Hertl is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Hertl
Home
44.6% (65)
55.2% (696)
Away
43.5% (62)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Gaudette
Hertl
P1
41.9%
55.4%
P2
49.2%
54.8%
P3
36.1%
48.9%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%