Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 50.2% vs Hertl 55.4% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 52.1%
Defensive zone
Gaudette 69.3%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 59.8%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 60.7%
60.7%
39.3%
Gaudette
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Gaudette
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudette
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Gaudette
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (338)
54.1% (717)
-4.1%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
61.9% (210)
-3.6%
On even strength, Hertl has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Gaudette is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (234).
Gaudette shoots right. Hertl is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Hertl
Home
54.4% (206)
58.1% (492)
Away
44.4% (144)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Gaudette
Hertl
P1
49.2%
57.1%
P2
50.4%
54.0%
P3
51.6%
56.6%
Final 5 min
49.5%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
50.3%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 16:08 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 1 | 09:32 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 1 | 06:00 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |