Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hayton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.8% vs Hayton 52.4% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 70.3%
Defensive zone
Henrique 66.3%
Neutral zone
Hayton 52.0%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Henrique
Hayton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Henrique
Hayton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
0
1
Henrique
Hayton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Hayton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Hayton
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (376)
52.5% (646)
+3.6%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
56.8% (111)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (124)
36.8% (19)
+14.0%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayton shoots left. Henrique is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (351).
Henrique shoots left. Hayton is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (474).
Home / Away
Henrique
Hayton
Home
53.5% (215)
56.9% (432)
Away
55.2% (306)
47.4% (344)
By Period
Henrique
Hayton
P1
57.7%
53.1%
P2
53.8%
50.3%
P3
51.6%
55.4%
OT
100.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.5%
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 16:42 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 05:41 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |