Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Hayton 49.8% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 59.6%
Defensive zone
Hayton 50.8%
Neutral zone
Hayton 54.2%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Henrique
Hayton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Henrique
Hayton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
0
2
Henrique
Hayton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Hayton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Hayton
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
50.3% (318)
+5.1%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
50.7% (67)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
42.4% (33)
+5.1%
On even strength, Henrique has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayton shoots left. Henrique is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Henrique shoots left. Hayton is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Henrique
Hayton
Home
56.4% (553)
47.4% (171)
Away
50.0% (530)
51.4% (247)
By Period
Henrique
Hayton
P1
51.7%
49.6%
P2
55.5%
50.0%
P3
52.5%
49.0%
OT
66.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
55.1%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.3%
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 07:26 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 01:01 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 04:57 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |