Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hayton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Hayton 48.3% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 70.9%
Defensive zone
Hayton 71.9%
Neutral zone
Hayton 57.6%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Henrique
Hayton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Henrique
Hayton
Last 6: Henrique 3-3 Hayton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Hayton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
2
Henrique
Hayton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Hayton
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (349)
48.1% (643)
+6.3%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
55.6% (90)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
43.4% (129)
+2.8%
On even strength, Henrique has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayton shoots left. Henrique is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (298).
Henrique shoots left. Hayton is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Henrique
Hayton
Home
55.3% (237)
48.8% (424)
Away
55.8% (260)
47.5% (438)
By Period
Henrique
Hayton
P1
53.5%
52.9%
P2
64.8%
47.3%
P3
47.3%
44.1%
OT
58.3%
70.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.5%
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 14:23 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 1 | 10:45 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 1 | 07:26 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 3 | 17:16 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 2 | 08:06 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 2 | 08:02 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |