Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hayton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Hayton 53.8% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 75.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 64.9%
Neutral zone
Hayton 54.9%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Henrique
Hayton
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Henrique
Hayton
Last 10: Henrique 5-5 Hayton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
0
3
Henrique
Hayton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Henrique
Hayton
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
0
Henrique
Hayton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Hayton
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
52.6% (817)
+4.9%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
63.3% (139)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
53.1% (64)
-7.6%
On power play, Henrique has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayton shoots left. Henrique is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Henrique shoots left. Hayton is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (684).
Home / Away
Henrique
Hayton
Home
56.4% (518)
53.9% (516)
Away
54.9% (492)
54.4% (504)
By Period
Henrique
Hayton
P1
56.0%
55.1%
P2
55.2%
55.0%
P3
56.2%
51.7%
OT
0.0%
69.2%
Final 5 min
51.8%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
55.6%
Hayton
58.0%▼
62.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 14:22 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 19:56 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:24 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 12:02 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 11:14 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 29, 2024 | OT | 00:45 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 16:22 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 12:14 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 09:44 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |