Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 48.9% vs Malkin 47.7% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 81.6%
Defensive zone
Henrique 71.7%
Neutral zone
Malkin 59.3%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Henrique
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Henrique
Malkin
Last 10: Henrique 3-7 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
8
Henrique
Malkin
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
5
1
Henrique
Malkin
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Malkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (816)
46.4% (922)
+1.6%
Power Play
54.8% (62)
52.7% (262)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (127)
22.2% (9)
+29.0%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +29.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Henrique is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Henrique shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Home / Away
Henrique
Malkin
Home
51.2% (461)
52.4% (601)
Away
46.9% (565)
42.7% (609)
By Period
Henrique
Malkin
P1
49.5%
48.8%
P2
48.5%
50.6%
P3
49.1%
41.6%
OT
22.2%
65.2%
Final 5 min
50.4%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.8%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 18:03 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 2 | 10:53 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 01:58 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 01:55 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 5, 2012 | 3 | 09:20 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 5, 2012 | 1 | 04:01 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 5, 2012 | 1 | 03:49 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 15:47 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 13:40 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 12:20 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 02:43 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 02:35 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 19:57 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 08:16 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 3 | 08:11 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 3 | 08:02 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |