Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Malkin 48.7% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 82.7%
Defensive zone
Henrique 68.4%
Neutral zone
Malkin 50.8%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Henrique
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Henrique
Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
2
Henrique
Malkin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
47.9% (776)
+7.5%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
66.7% (24)
-16.1%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
100.0% (1)
-52.5%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +52.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Henrique is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Henrique shoots left. Malkin is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Home / Away
Henrique
Malkin
Home
56.4% (553)
49.6% (405)
Away
50.0% (530)
47.5% (396)
By Period
Henrique
Malkin
P1
51.7%
49.6%
P2
55.5%
47.2%
P3
52.5%
48.5%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.1%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.3%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 08:35 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 03:43 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 11:55 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |