Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (87% H2H, 37 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Malkin 45.9% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 51-49 in 100 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 65.8%
Defensive zone
Henrique 79.8%
Neutral zone
Henrique 66.4%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Henrique
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
51
-
49
(100 meetings)
51
49
Henrique
Malkin
Last 10: Henrique 5-5 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
5
32
Henrique
Malkin
37 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
26
7
Henrique
Malkin
33 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
20
10
Henrique
Malkin
30 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
45.6% (10,081)
+5.2%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
50.1% (668)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
32.2% (59)
+14.0%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,505).
Henrique shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Home / Away
Henrique
Malkin
Home
52.5% (6,418)
47.6% (5,395)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
44.0% (5,436)
By Period
Henrique
Malkin
P1
50.6%
45.9%
P2
51.4%
46.2%
P3
50.2%
45.2%
OT
40.6%
49.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2024 | 3 | 00:49 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 2 | 14:47 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 08:35 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 03:43 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 11:55 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 2 | 17:20 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 17:51 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 17:46 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 17:39 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 09:09 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 03:40 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 3 | 06:23 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 1 | 01:14 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 3 | 13:22 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 3 | 13:18 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 2 | 19:18 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 1 | 14:32 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 3 | 17:31 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 3 | 12:52 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 16:08 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |