Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Malkin 46.4% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 73.6%
Defensive zone
Henrique 78.4%
Neutral zone
Malkin 51.8%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Henrique
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Henrique
Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
1
Henrique
Malkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
45.5% (602)
+12.0%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
50.0% (30)
+23.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
100.0% (1)
-54.5%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +54.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Henrique is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Henrique shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Home / Away
Henrique
Malkin
Home
56.4% (518)
47.5% (326)
Away
54.9% (492)
44.0% (307)
By Period
Henrique
Malkin
P1
56.0%
49.3%
P2
55.2%
44.7%
P3
56.2%
42.3%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.8%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2024 | 3 | 00:49 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 2 | 14:47 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |