Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 45.0% vs Malkin 42.9% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 51.6%
Defensive zone
Henrique 83.2%
Neutral zone
Henrique 68.8%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Henrique
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Henrique
Malkin
Last 6: Henrique 4-2 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
2
Henrique
Malkin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Malkin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
0
Henrique
Malkin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (1,023)
42.5% (722)
+2.0%
Power Play
47.4% (173)
35.3% (17)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (185)
25.0% (16)
+18.2%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Henrique is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Henrique shoots left. Malkin is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (508).
Home / Away
Henrique
Malkin
Home
46.9% (680)
43.3% (406)
Away
42.5% (701)
40.4% (349)
By Period
Henrique
Malkin
P1
43.0%
39.3%
P2
46.2%
43.1%
P3
46.2%
43.8%
OT
25.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
46.5%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.7%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2016 | 3 | 14:00 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 3 | 10:29 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 2 | 16:43 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 2 | 07:52 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 2 | 05:39 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 1 | 17:08 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |