Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +16.9% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.9% vs Hayes 44.1% (+16.9%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 62.7%
Defensive zone
Henrique 78.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 52.5%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Henrique
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (314)
33.3% (81)
+22.1%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
64.3% (14)
-16.9%
On even strength, Henrique has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Henrique is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (277).
Henrique shoots left. Hayes is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (52).
Home / Away
Henrique
Hayes
Home
53.2% (173)
30.6% (49)
Away
55.9% (256)
45.7% (46)
By Period
Henrique
Hayes
P1
58.9%
24.2%
P2
54.9%
43.8%
P3
50.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
47.8%
31.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
54.8%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
37.9%