Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.0% vs Hayes 49.5% (+1.7%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 54.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 61.2%
Neutral zone
Hayes 54.5%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Henrique
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (270)
48.5% (557)
+3.4%
Power Play
58.5% (200)
53.3% (107)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (199)
58.3% (12)
-15.6%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Henrique is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Henrique shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Home / Away
Henrique
Hayes
Home
53.1% (339)
50.8% (313)
Away
49.1% (330)
48.2% (363)
By Period
Henrique
Hayes
P1
48.5%
52.3%
P2
48.6%
47.7%
P3
54.2%
48.4%
OT
70.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
51.1%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%