Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 24 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Hayes 47.7% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 41-17 in 58 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 77.6%
Defensive zone
Henrique 79.6%
Neutral zone
Henrique 79.9%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 79.3%
79.3%
20.7%
Henrique
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
41
-
17
(58 meetings)
41
17
Henrique
Hayes
Last 10: Henrique 9-1 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
11
2
Henrique
Hayes
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
13
8
Henrique
Hayes
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
17
7
Henrique
Hayes
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
47.5% (6,708)
+3.3%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
51.7% (702)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
45.3% (697)
+0.9%
On even strength, Henrique has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,505).
Henrique shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Home / Away
Henrique
Hayes
Home
52.5% (6,418)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Henrique
Hayes
P1
50.6%
47.5%
P2
51.4%
47.6%
P3
50.2%
47.9%
OT
40.6%
54.1%
Final 5 min
50.4%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:10 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:16 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 12:55 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 01:22 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 01:19 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 03:15 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 16:37 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 13:21 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 06:12 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 19:13 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 06:49 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 06:42 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 11:04 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 1 | 02:19 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 07:11 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |