Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Hayes 56.3% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 55.1%
Defensive zone
Hayes 54.1%
Neutral zone
Henrique 50.0%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Henrique
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Henrique
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Hayes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
56.6% (724)
-1.2%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
57.0% (79)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
65.7% (35)
-18.2%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Henrique is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Henrique shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Home / Away
Henrique
Hayes
Home
56.4% (553)
58.0% (405)
Away
50.0% (530)
56.1% (433)
By Period
Henrique
Hayes
P1
51.7%
54.7%
P2
55.5%
55.7%
P3
52.5%
60.2%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.1%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.3%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 03:15 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |