Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +15.7% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.7% vs Hayes 38.0% (+15.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 78.9%
Defensive zone
Henrique 95.9%
Neutral zone
Henrique 94.6%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 92.0%
92.0%
8.0%
Henrique
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Henrique
Hayes
Last 5: Henrique 5-0 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Hayes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Hayes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (358)
37.1% (642)
+16.3%
Power Play
55.2% (67)
32.1% (28)
+23.1%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (94)
0.0% (11)
+44.7%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +44.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Henrique is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Henrique shoots left. Hayes is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (419).
Home / Away
Henrique
Hayes
Home
53.9% (245)
36.7% (354)
Away
50.4% (274)
35.8% (327)
By Period
Henrique
Hayes
P1
52.8%
33.6%
P2
56.5%
38.3%
P3
46.1%
37.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
52.0%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
36.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2014 | 2 | 16:48 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 2 | 11:24 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 2 | 11:19 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 1 | 18:18 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 1 | 00:37 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |