Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 48.3% vs Hayes 50.5% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 61.5%
Defensive zone
Hayes 73.2%
Neutral zone
Henrique 53.7%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 69.3%
30.7%
69.3%
Henrique
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Henrique
Hayes
Last 7: Henrique 5-2 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
2
Henrique
Hayes
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (801)
50.4% (850)
-2.6%
Power Play
58.1% (124)
56.4% (39)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (130)
50.2% (223)
-9.4%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Henrique is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (681).
Henrique shoots left. Hayes is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Henrique
Hayes
Home
50.0% (506)
50.0% (586)
Away
46.4% (549)
51.1% (526)
By Period
Henrique
Hayes
P1
47.6%
52.3%
P2
50.1%
52.3%
P3
47.9%
47.3%
OT
23.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.2%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2017 | 3 | 03:59 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 2 | 11:25 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 2 | 07:30 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 2 | 00:38 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 13:23 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 11:24 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 07:05 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |