Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 52.5% vs Hayes 49.3% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 84.3%
Defensive zone
Henrique 73.9%
Neutral zone
Henrique 73.9%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 82.2%
82.2%
17.8%
Henrique
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Henrique
Hayes
Last 5: Henrique 4-1 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
1
Henrique
Hayes
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (818)
50.5% (764)
+2.4%
Power Play
49.7% (163)
53.3% (90)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (101)
38.6% (127)
+16.8%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Henrique is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (731).
Henrique shoots left. Hayes is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (648).
Home / Away
Henrique
Hayes
Home
55.3% (571)
49.0% (531)
Away
49.8% (512)
49.6% (450)
By Period
Henrique
Hayes
P1
53.3%
52.3%
P2
52.4%
45.8%
P3
52.4%
50.2%
OT
53.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
52.7%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2019 | 2 | 18:11 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 2 | 09:52 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 2 | 06:40 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 1 | 14:15 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 3 | 11:07 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |