Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Henrique wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Hayes 50.2% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 85.5%
Defensive zone
Henrique 66.5%
Neutral zone
Henrique 79.1%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 79.1%
79.1%
20.9%
Henrique
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Henrique
Hayes
Last 5: Henrique 4-1 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
1
Henrique
Hayes
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (740)
51.3% (672)
+2.2%
Power Play
65.9% (132)
50.0% (78)
+15.9%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (57)
40.8% (76)
+10.1%
On power play, Henrique has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Henrique is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Henrique shoots left. Hayes is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Henrique
Hayes
Home
57.4% (467)
52.0% (404)
Away
52.7% (463)
48.6% (422)
By Period
Henrique
Hayes
P1
55.4%
50.7%
P2
56.7%
50.2%
P3
54.0%
49.8%
OT
22.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.1%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2019 | 1 | 02:19 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 07:11 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 00:55 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |