Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.9% vs Eller 56.2% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 60.7%
Defensive zone
Henrique 50.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 59.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Henrique
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Henrique
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (314)
57.2% (306)
-1.8%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
77.8% (9)
-30.4%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (96)
60.0% (35)
-5.8%
On power play, Eller has a +30.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Henrique is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (277).
Henrique shoots left. Eller is 61.4% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Henrique
Eller
Home
53.2% (173)
52.7% (150)
Away
55.9% (256)
62.0% (200)
By Period
Henrique
Eller
P1
58.9%
54.1%
P2
54.9%
59.6%
P3
50.0%
59.8%
Final 5 min
47.8%
63.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
54.8%
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:49 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |