Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.8% vs Eller 55.7% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 69.7%
Defensive zone
Henrique 54.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 53.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Henrique
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Henrique
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (376)
56.5% (434)
-0.4%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
77.8% (9)
-30.2%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (124)
56.5% (46)
-5.7%
On power play, Eller has a +30.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Henrique is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (351).
Henrique shoots left. Eller is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Henrique
Eller
Home
53.5% (215)
53.1% (211)
Away
55.2% (306)
59.7% (278)
By Period
Henrique
Eller
P1
57.7%
55.4%
P2
53.8%
58.1%
P3
51.6%
57.1%
Final 5 min
48.1%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.5%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 11:53 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 04:30 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:49 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |