Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Eller 51.9% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 56.5%
Defensive zone
Henrique 65.8%
Neutral zone
Henrique 54.0%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Henrique
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Henrique
Eller
Last 7: Henrique 4-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Henrique
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
1
Henrique
Eller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
52.8% (650)
+4.7%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
69.2% (13)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
45.5% (88)
+0.0%
On even strength, Henrique has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Henrique is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Henrique shoots left. Eller is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Henrique
Eller
Home
56.4% (518)
52.6% (340)
Away
54.9% (492)
51.8% (411)
By Period
Henrique
Eller
P1
56.0%
52.4%
P2
55.2%
54.1%
P3
56.2%
50.0%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:27 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 10:38 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 06:35 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 09:24 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 08:53 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 02:23 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 01:42 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |