Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Eller 52.0% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 66.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 71.0%
Neutral zone
Henrique 55.4%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Henrique
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Henrique
Eller
Last 7: Henrique 3-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
3
Henrique
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
52.8% (742)
+2.6%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
67.6% (34)
-17.0%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
46.2% (156)
+1.3%
On power play, Eller has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Henrique is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Henrique shoots left. Eller is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
Henrique
Eller
Home
56.4% (553)
54.5% (448)
Away
50.0% (530)
50.2% (484)
By Period
Henrique
Eller
P1
51.7%
52.8%
P2
55.5%
50.9%
P3
52.5%
53.4%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.1%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.3%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 01:21 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 14:45 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 02:58 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 06:48 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 03:01 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 03:26 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |