Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 48.9% vs Eller 47.0% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 61.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 60.3%
Neutral zone
Eller 64.8%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Henrique
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Henrique
Eller
Last 6: Henrique 1-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Henrique
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
3
Henrique
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (816)
45.7% (588)
+2.3%
Power Play
54.8% (62)
61.1% (18)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (127)
50.8% (63)
+0.4%
On power play, Eller has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Henrique is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Henrique shoots left. Eller is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (434).
Home / Away
Henrique
Eller
Home
51.2% (461)
48.3% (329)
Away
46.9% (565)
44.9% (356)
By Period
Henrique
Eller
P1
49.5%
50.0%
P2
48.5%
41.3%
P3
49.1%
47.4%
OT
22.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.8%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2012 | 3 | 15:30 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 3 | 18:14 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 3 | 13:40 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 2 | 17:56 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 2 | 11:26 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |