Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Draisaitl 53.2% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 51.8%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 54.9%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 52.3%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Henrique
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Henrique
Draisaitl
Last 9: Henrique 4-5 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Draisaitl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
3
Henrique
Draisaitl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Henrique
Draisaitl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (349)
52.6% (1,124)
+1.8%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
58.4% (344)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
49.2% (193)
-3.0%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Henrique is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (298).
Henrique shoots left. Draisaitl is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Home / Away
Henrique
Draisaitl
Home
55.3% (237)
55.5% (816)
Away
55.8% (260)
51.4% (845)
By Period
Henrique
Draisaitl
P1
53.5%
51.1%
P2
64.8%
51.6%
P3
47.3%
56.9%
OT
58.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.7%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.5%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 19:28 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 04:15 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 1 | 12:01 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 04:10 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 18:47 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |