Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Draisaitl 56.5% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 87.2%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 54.8%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 67.6%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 74.2%
25.8%
74.2%
Henrique
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Henrique
Draisaitl
Last 9: Henrique 6-3 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
2
Henrique
Draisaitl
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Draisaitl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
57.4% (1,010)
-2.0%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
56.2% (331)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
54.5% (110)
-7.0%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Henrique is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Henrique shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Home / Away
Henrique
Draisaitl
Home
56.4% (553)
56.4% (734)
Away
50.0% (530)
57.5% (717)
By Period
Henrique
Draisaitl
P1
51.7%
55.6%
P2
55.5%
62.1%
P3
52.5%
52.4%
OT
66.7%
61.5%
Final 5 min
55.1%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.3%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2024 | 3 | 09:29 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 1 | 07:53 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 11:09 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 06:25 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 02:33 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 03:28 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 02:09 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 04:36 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |