Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.0% vs Draisaitl 54.6% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 67.7%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 55.5%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 69.5%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Henrique
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Henrique
Draisaitl
Last 10: Henrique 6-4 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
3
Henrique
Draisaitl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
7
3
Henrique
Draisaitl
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Draisaitl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (270)
52.4% (974)
-0.5%
Power Play
58.5% (200)
59.5% (373)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (199)
61.0% (123)
-18.3%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Henrique is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Henrique shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Henrique
Draisaitl
Home
53.1% (339)
54.5% (778)
Away
49.1% (330)
55.3% (692)
By Period
Henrique
Draisaitl
P1
48.5%
54.6%
P2
48.6%
56.1%
P3
54.2%
53.3%
OT
70.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.9%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
51.1%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2023 | 2 | 18:38 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 19:38 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 19:21 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 19:14 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 18:11 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 16:17 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 10:50 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 02:06 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 01:32 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 09:31 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 07:00 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 03:52 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 03:44 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |