Adam Henrique vs Michael McCarron
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.3% vs 53.2%). Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs McCarron 52.8% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 66.9%
Defensive zone
McCarron 50.9%
Neutral zone
Henrique 63.2%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Henrique
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Henrique
McCarron
Last 5: Henrique 4-1 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
1
Henrique
McCarron
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
54.5% (618)
+0.9%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
42.1% (19)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
35.3% (34)
+12.2%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Henrique is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Henrique shoots left. McCarron is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
Henrique
McCarron
Home
56.4% (553)
52.2% (339)
Away
50.0% (530)
54.2% (332)
By Period
Henrique
McCarron
P1
51.7%
53.5%
P2
55.5%
50.6%
P3
52.5%
55.9%
Final 5 min
55.1%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.3%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 18:20 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 03:39 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 11:53 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 09:45 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 03:50 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |