Adam Henrique vs Michael McCarron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs McCarron 52.7% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 73.8%
Defensive zone
McCarron 76.2%
Neutral zone
McCarron 51.2%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Henrique
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Henrique
McCarron
Last 10: Henrique 7-3 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
2
Henrique
McCarron
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
2
Henrique
McCarron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
1
Henrique
McCarron
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
53.4% (2,901)
-2.6%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
45.3% (86)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
50.5% (463)
-4.3%
On power play, Henrique has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Henrique is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,629).
Henrique shoots left. McCarron is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,403).
Home / Away
Henrique
McCarron
Home
52.5% (6,418)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
53.3% (1,754)
By Period
Henrique
McCarron
P1
50.6%
53.9%
P2
51.4%
52.5%
P3
50.2%
52.0%
OT
40.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.4%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 01:02 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 15:47 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 10:09 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 03:04 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 00:37 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 13:55 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 18:20 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 03:39 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 11:53 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 09:45 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 03:50 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 07:49 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |